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Jeff Caldwell edited this page Dec 16, 2023 · 41 revisions

Barrios ISS Analysis Tool

Description

The Barrios ISS Analysis Tool is an interactive dashboard that provides Barrios analysts:

  • A high-level overview of all current analyses and predictions
  • The ability to upload updated datasets for adjusted analyses and predictions
  • Detailed views of usage analysis, shipment optimizations, and resupply predictions

Dr Erdogan Dogdu

Angelo State University

Team Noname

Jeff Caldwell

Carlos Cardenas

Josue Lozano

Jeremy Miles

Jonathan Morgan

Key Pages

  1. RAD
  2. SDD
  3. Installation
  4. User Manual
  5. Presentation
  6. Project Demo
  7. Project Repository

Major Questions

Barrios asked three questions at the beginning of this project. Those questions were:

  1. What is the percent difference between historical consumable usage rate assumptions and actual calculated usage rates in mission time frames between resupply?

Overall historical usage on the space station for the time period covered by client data was 1.04% less than assumed usage rates.

Overall Usage

  1. What resupply quantities are necessary, considering planned resupply vehicle traffic from the ISS Flight Plan, planned On-Orbit Crew counts, and historical usage rates to sustain minimum supply thresholds, plus a 10% safety factor, through the next two years?

Usage quantities can be found in the table below.

event_date vehicle_name ACY Inserts Air Filter Inserts KTO Nitrogen Oxygen Pretreat Tanks Urine Receptacle US Food BOBs Water
2024-01-10 Ax-3 63 282 lbs 0 1 3 lbs 52 lbs 0 0 1 177 Liters
2024-01-17 DCC-1 172 484 lbs 1 5 6 lbs 177 lbs 1 1 3 560 Liters
2024-01-29 NG-20 155 686 lbs 1 4 8 lbs 127 lbs 0 1 4 431 Liters
2024-02-15 87Progress 27 121 lbs 0 1 1 lbs 23 lbs 0 0 0 76 Liters
2024-02-18 Crew-8 136 605 lbs 1 4 8 lbs 112 lbs 1 1 3 380 Liters
2024-03-04 SpX-30 346 1534 lbs 2 9 18 lbs 283 lbs 1 2 7 962 Liters
2024-04-11 Boe-CFT 182 807 lbs 1 5 10 lbs 150 lbs 1 1 4 507 Liters
2024-05-01 HTV-X1 82 363 lbs 0 2 4 lbs 67 lbs 0 0 2 228 Liters
2024-05-10 Ax-4 191 847 lbs 1 6 10 lbs 157 lbs 1 1 4 532 Liters
2024-05-31 88Progress 273 1211 lbs 2 7 15 lbs 224 lbs 1 2 5 760 Liters
2024-06-30 SpX-31 319 1412 lbs 2 9 17 lbs 261 lbs 2 2 7 886 Liters
2024-08-04 USCV-9 136 605 lbs 1 4 7 lbs 112 lbs 0 1 3 380 Liters
2024-08-19 89Progress 55 242 lbs 0 1 3 lbs 45 lbs 1 0 1 152 Liters
2024-08-25 NG-21 191 848 lbs 1 5 10 lbs 157 lbs 0 1 4 532 Liters
2024-09-15 DCC-2 611 1896 lbs 4 17 23 lbs 609 lbs 3 4 13 1943 Liters
2024-11-01 PAM-5 291 1291 lbs 1 8 16 lbs 239 lbs 1 1 6 811 Liters
2024-12-03 HTV-X2 36 162 lbs 1 1 1 lbs 30 lbs 0 1 0 101 Liters
2024-12-07 90Progress 210 928 lbs 1 6 12 lbs 172 lbs 1 1 5 583 Liters
2024-12-30 SPM 9 40 lbs 0 0 0 lbs 7 lbs 0 0 0 25 Liters
2024-12-31 SpX-32 291 1291 lbs 2 8 16 lbs 239 lbs 2 2 6 811 Liters
2025-02-01 NG-22 45 202 lbs 0 2 2 lbs 37 lbs 0 0 1 126 Liters
2025-02-06 USCV-10 164 726 lbs 1 4 9 lbs 135 lbs 1 1 3 456 Liters
2025-02-24 91Progress 728 3228 lbs 4 20 39 lbs 597 lbs 3 4 15 2027 Liters
2025-05-15 PAM-6 9 41 lbs 0 0 0 lbs 8 lbs 0 0 1 25 Liters
2025-05-16 DCC-3 415 1170 lbs 2 12 14 lbs 428 lbs 1 2 8 1354 Liters
2025-06-14 92Progress 437 1937 lbs 3 12 23 lbs 359 lbs 2 3 9 1216 Liters
2025-08-01 NG-23 27 121 lbs 0 0 2 lbs 22 lbs 0 0 1 76 Liters
2025-08-04 USCV-11 255 1130 lbs 2 7 13 lbs 209 lbs 2 2 5 709 Liters
2025-09-01 93Progress 273 1210 lbs 1 8 15 lbs 224 lbs 1 1 6 760 Liters
2025-10-01 CRS 2-24 282 1251 lbs 2 8 15 lbs 232 lbs 1 2 6 785 Liters
2025-11-01 NG-24 228 1009 lbs 1 6 12 lbs 187 lbs 1 1 4 634 Liters
2025-11-26 PAM-7 218 968 lbs 1 6 12 lbs 179 lbs 1 1 5 607 Liters
  1. What resupply quantities meet the requirements of question #2 while minimizing launch vehicle quantity? (e.g., launching 10,000 granola bars would ensure the minimum thresholds are not violated, but is not a realistic or optimal strategy for balancing launch mass requirements with supply requirements)

Resupply quantities listed in the table above meet the minimum launch vehicle quantity based on the schedule represented in the iss_flight_plan data.

Predictive modeling:

  1. What month in the next two years of the Flight Plan timeline is most likely to incur a violation of minimum supply thresholds?

The time period most likely to incur a violation of minimum resupply thresholds is the period between launches in February, 2025 and May 2025. Resupply Failure Period

  1. Which consumables item(s) are most likely to incur a violation of minimum supply thresholds in the next two years of the future Flight Plan timeline?

Water is the most likely consumable to incur a violation of minimum resupply thresholds. Water Failure