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Uncertainty characterization of drug-hERG kinetics

This code performs uncertainty characterization for the pharmacological component of the human Ether-à-go-go-Related Gene (hERG) current model using the nonparametric bootstrap method.

hERG model

The hERG Markov model includes a saturating drug binding component and a drug trapping component:

hERG model

The fitted drug parameters are Ku (drug unbinding rate), Kmax (maximum drug effect), n (Hill coefficient of drug binding), halfmax (nth power of the half-maximal drug concentration), and Vhalf (drug trapping potential).

Running the code

This code uses the following R packages: optparse (version 1.4.4), deSolve (version 1.14), ggplot2 (version 2.2.0), cmaes (version 1.0-11), and FME (version 1.3.5).

Results and figures are automatically saved to results/ and figs/, respectively.

A quick example of the bootstrapping process can be run with this bash script to ensure the code is working. The full process is explained below.

Bootstrapping the data

Drug parameters are fit to fractional block time series data obtained using the Milnes protocol (Milnes et al. 2010, Li et al. 2017). The data are located in data/ in CSV format (see README.md for details).

Before fitting the model, bootstrap samples must first be generated from the data using the following command:

Rscript generate_bootstrap_samples.R

The default is to generate 2000 bootstrap samples for each of the 12 CiPA training drugs. Different drugs and/or a different number of samples can be specified:

Rscript generate_bootstrap_samples.R -d "drug1,drug2" -n 3000

The random bootstrap sampling will be reproducible as long as the drugs are specified in the same order. Note that for new drugs, the relevant data files should be located in data/ (e.g. data/drug1.csv, data/drug2.csv).

The random seed (default 100) can also be changed:

Rscript generate_bootstrap_samples.R -d "drug1,drug2" -s 200

Fitting the model

The dynamic hERG model C code is provided in models/ and must be compiled:

cd models
R CMD SHLIB hergmod.c

Fitting is performed with the Covariance Matrix Adaptation Evolutionary Strategy (CMA-ES) (Hansen et al. 2006). Non-default hyperparameters for CMA-ES are used (population size of 80, stopping tolerance of 0.001). After compiling the model, the optimal model parameters must be fitted prior to fitting the bootstrap samples:

Rscript hERG_fitting.R -d bepridil -l 80 -t 0.001

Once the optimal model fitting is done, bootstrap samples (1-2000) can be fitted:

Rscript hERG_fitting.R -d bepridil -i "1-2000" -l 80 -t 0.001

Note that the bootstrap fitting is computationally intensive, and it is recommended that this be done in parallel on a high-performance computing resource. (See this script for an example of how to split up the bootstraps.)

Postprocessing

After bootstrap fitting is finished, results can be combined, summarized, and plotted (note that this command must be run in order to generate inputs for uncertainty propagation):

Rscript process_boot_results.R -d bepridil

To perform sensitivity analysis using bootstrapping results, run:

Rscript Milnes_sensitivity.R -d bepridil

References

  • Hansen, N. (2006). "The CMA Evolution Strategy: A Comparing Review," in Towards a New Evolutionary Computation: Advances in the Estimation of Distribution Algorithms, eds. J.A. Lozano, P. Larrañaga, I. Inza & E. Bengoetxea. (Berlin, Heidelberg: Springer Berlin Heidelberg), 75-102.
  • Li, Z., Dutta, S., Sheng, J., Tran, P.N., Wu, W., Chang, K., et al. (2017). Improving the In Silico Assessment of Proarrhythmia Risk by Combining hERG (Human Ether-à-go-go-Related Gene) ChannelDrug Binding Kinetics and Multichannel Pharmacology. Circulation: Arrhythmia and Electrophysiology 10(2), e004628. doi: 10.1161/circep.116.004628.
  • Milnes, J.T., Witchel, H.J., Leaney, J.L., Leishman, D.J., and Hancox, J.C. (2010). Investigating dynamic protocol-dependence of hERG potassium channel inhibition at 37 degrees C: Cisapride versus dofetilide. J Pharmacol Toxicol Methods 61(2), 178-191. doi: 10.1016/j.vascn.2010.02.007.