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Honey28Git authored Sep 7, 2024
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This data analysis is based on a dataset sourced from the UCI archives. I categorized the products sold into various groups and conducted detailed analyses, including RFM Analysis, Cohort Analysis, and Sales Forecasting.
Below are the key findings:

--Basic Analysis:
-- Basic Analysis:
Total Revenue (Dec 2010 - Dec 2011): $8,278,519
Average Order Value (AOV): $392,732
Top Selling Product: PAPER CRAFT, LITTLE BIRDIE from the stationery category
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Customer Distribution: 59% are medium-risk, 39% are low-risk, and 2% are high-risk.
Action Plan: Re-engage high-risk customers, focus on retaining medium-risk customers, and reward low-risk customers.

--Cohort Analysis:
-- Cohort Analysis:
Dec 2010 Cohort: Started with 28,013, dropping to 3,537 by month 13. Retention fluctuated but ended at 16%.
Jan 2011 Cohort: Began with 12,050, dropping sharply after a peak at 120%.
Feb-May 2011 Cohorts: Show smaller counts with varying retention rates, peaking at 183% (May) before declining.
Late 2011 Cohorts: Smaller sizes, with sharp declines in retention.
Observation: Early cohorts show better retention, while later cohorts see sharp drops, indicating a need for improved retention strategies.

--Revenue and Forecast:
-- Revenue and Forecast:
2011 Actual Revenue: Peaks in September, October, and November with significant fluctuations.
2012 Forecast:
Linear: Steady increase from $382K in January to $998K in December.
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