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RespiCompass - ECDC's Respiratory Diseases Scenario Hub

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Visit the RespiCompass platform for analysis of Round 1 2024/2025 here.

Details on latest rounds can be found at:

Rationale

With many uncertain factors at play, it is challenging to predict respiratory virus burden in forthcoming winter seasons. However, by combining data from national surveillance systems with published scientific evidence, expert knowledge, and leveraging expertise from global modelling groups, this respiratory disease scenario modelling hub provides public health advisors and policy decision-makers at European, national, or subnational level with robust insights into plausible winter season scenarios. This hub provides guidance—a "compass"—to support public health stakeholders in their long-term planning and anticipatory action. Secondly, such a hub builds a synergistic community of policy advisors, policy makers and modellers and brings modelling closer to decision making.

How to Join RespiCompass

RespiCompass welcomes modelling teams willing to contribute their projections. Detailed information on how to join are provided in the Wiki. Here’s a concise guide on how to participate:

  1. Create a metadata file:

  2. Develop your model and model projections:

    • Develop your model and produce projections. We value diverse model approaches and implementations.
    • Ensure your projections respect the provided scenario assumptions (refer to specific rounds information).
  3. Submit model projections:

For any questions, please email us at European.Modelling.Hub@ecdc.europa.eu. You are also welcome to join our slack channel, please send us an email and we will invite you.

You can choose to participate in projections for either COVID-19 or Influenza (or both), and for a single or a limited number of countries. We encourage submissions for as many EU/EEA member states as possible.

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